What’s ahead for summer? An outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology
Australia comes alive over the summer months. With longer daylight hours, there’s an abundance of outdoor events and adventures on both land and water.
The Bureau of Meteorology has released its climate outlook for December 2018 to February 2019. So, what conditions can we expect for the summer ahead?
Sea surface temperatures
Warmer than usual water temperatures are likely this summer along Australia’s east coast extending around southern Victoria, northern Tasmania, and the Gulf of Carpentaria and the Top End. Summer water temperatures along the remainder of Australia’s coastline are likely to be close to average, except parts of Western Australia where they are likely to be cooler than average. (click on map for larger version)
Daytime and overnight temperatures are very likely to be warmer than average around most of Australia’s coastline this summer, except parts of Western Australia. Australia can expect an increased risk of heatwaves and an elevated bushfire risk. (click on map for larger version)
The rainfall outlook for summer shows a drier than average season is likely along most of western and northern Australia’s coastline. There is no strong push towards a wetter or drier than average season for most of southern Australia’s coastline.
There are increasing signs that an El Niño will develop before the end of 2018. (click on map for larger version)
Wind speeds are likely to be greater than normal this summer along Australia’s north-western coastline but less than normal along much of southern Western Australia and South Australia’s coastline. The remainder of Australia’s coastline is likely to have near average wind speeds.
Where can you find the latest information?
- View the Bureau’s ocean forecasts and near real-time observations for sea surface temperatures.
- View forecasts for temperature, rainfall, wind, and more, as well as recent observations, via the BOM Weather app or MetEye.
- The Bureau’s Heatwave Service shows when and where heatwaves are developing for the next three days, taking into account the long-term climate of a location and the temperatures leading up to the heatwave event.
- Marine-related warnings, forecasts, and observations are available at the Bureau’s Marine & Ocean website.
- The latest monthly and seasonal climate outlooks are available at: bom.gov.au/climate/ahead